So would Mike Huckabee according to a (Mobile) Press-Register/University
of South Alabama poll:
Republicans have carried Alabama in every presidential
election since 1980 and, if a new Press-Register/University
of South Alabama poll is an accurate bellwether, that winning streak isn't about to end.
According to last week's telephone survey of 421
registered likely voters, Republican front-runner John
McCain of Arizona would trounce either of the two top
Democrats, Hillary Rodham Clinton of New York and Barack
Obama of Illinois, in a general election match-up. All three
are U.S. senators.
McCain's double-digit lead emerged even though poll
respondents' biggest concern was the economy, an area
not considered one of his strengths. The poll results also
offered evidence that despite President Bush's slumping
approval ratings, the GOP retains a tight grip on the
region, at least in national races.
[...]
Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, running a distant second
to McCain nationally, would also beat Obama or Clinton in
Alabama by virtually the same wide margin as the Arizona
senator.
The article does not give the actual poll results, only that it's a double-digit lead. I believe McCain's VP choice is critical for conservative voters. In order to excite conservatives and get them (all of them) to the polls McCain needs to choose carefully. A conservative southerner seemed like a good bet for McCain but assuming the Alabama poll is reflective of the south, maybe that's not necessary. Dee at Conservatism With Heart posted her top five choices for VP:
So since I refuse to jump on the McCain bandwagon, my efforts are going
to be put into persuading the McCain camp to pick a stellar
conservative for VP. I truly think thats the only way he has a chance
of getting many of our votes. There is nothing he can say or do to
personally redeem himself with us but if he picks a great VP we could
be persuaded to vote for him.
1) JC Watts
2) Michael Steele
3) Governor Mark Sanford
4) Senator Jim DeMint
5) Governor Haley Barbour
A pretty good list. There is a lot of support for JC Watts, he was second in a VP poll at Right Wing News, with Fred Thompson placing first. There is also a Draft JC Watts website. Watts is a good friend of McCain but whether he would be offered, or would accept, the VP nod is anybody's guess.
An article in today's Politico suggests Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty might be the frontrunner for VP:
Even through the McCain campaign’s darkest days in 2007, Minnesota Gov.
Tim Pawlenty remained a steadfast ally to the Arizona senator in his
bid for the Republican presidential nomination.
As a result, with John McCain
as the clear GOP frontrunner and insider talk turning to speculation
about his possible running mate, party insiders are now buzzing about
the 47-year-old, second-term governor’s vice-presidential prospects.
Assuming McCain is solid in the south Pawlenty could help the ticket in some of the battleground states:
Vin Weber, a Minnesota congressman-turned-Washington-lobbyist who is
one of Pawlenty’s biggest boosters, ticks off the list of appealing
traits.
“First of all, his age is attractive,” Weber says, hinting at the
nearly quarter-century difference between his fellow Minnesotan and the
71-year-old McCain. “Second, he’s from outside Washington. Third, he
represents a battleground part of the country. And he has a nice
balance of, on one hand being totally acceptable to conservative wing
of the party, especially to social conservatives, but at the same time
sharing a couple of key maverick strains of thought with McCain.”
I am in the same camp as Dee, it will be extremely hard for me to jump on board the McCain express. Even so I'm pleased the state of Alabama, at least according to one poll, is still firmly in the Republican camp. If I must support McCain as the lesser of two evils, I will probably do it. I just hope his VP pick inspires more confidence than he does.
***Update 12:42 PM CT***
Macranger: Pawlenty is a RINO:
Pawlenty is more a progressive cloaked in Republican clothes much
like our own Charlie Crist, than the true conservative McCain must
choose if he hopes to gain our support.
The record of Pawlenty’s RINOISM is well detailed, but for a few, he’s for Global Warming reform ,
along the lines of Al Gore. He supported the Democrat verision of SCHIP
as well. In other words, he is the continuation of the “compassionate
conservative” new Republicanism.
No thanks. It’s NOT acceptable.
Captain Ed, who lives in Minnesota, is a bit more positive:
Pawlenty has some advantages for McCain. Geographically, he could
help put Minnesota and Wisconsin in play, and perhaps firm up Iowa as
well. If the GOP takes both Minnesota and Wisconsin from the Democrats,
McCain could make up for a Pennsylvania or a couple of smaller states
that could shift to the Democrats, especially if Obama runs. It could
strengthen the GOP lock in the Midwest as well.
Politically, Pawlenty comes across as a homey, nice-guy politician
-- but he has real talent for infighting. Pawlenty handled the bridge
collapse without a hint of panic, a contrast to the Chicken Little
hysterics who immediately blamed a lack of maintenance and opposition
to tax increases for the tragedy. The eventual cause -- a design defect
amplified by actual maintenance on the bridge -- vindicated Pawlenty,
as did polling which showed a clear majority of Minnesotans opposed to
increased taxes. He has managed a state legislature dominated by his
opponents expertly, showing his toughness under fire a number of times.
Pawlenty may not pass muster at a CPAC as a clear-cut conservative.
Pawlenty shares McCain's enthusiasm for global-warming initiatives,
although both prefer free-market solutions to government-imposed energy
management. His political situation in Minnesota has forced him into a
few compromises on spending and taxes, including a renege on a no-tax
pledge and an increase in cigarette "fees" that angered the tax hawks
here in Minnesota.
Overall, however, Pawlenty could be what the GOP needs -- a young
two-term governor with no peccadilloes and a strong record of at least
center-right governance, if not outright conservative achievements. He
and Mark Sanford of South Carolina would probably be the two best
candidates for running mates on the GOP bench. Even if a
McCain/Pawlenty ticket didn't manage to win in 2008, Pawlenty would be
well-positioned afterward for a run at Amy Klobuchar's Senate seat in
2012, or perhaps a shot at the top of the ticket in that year or in
2016.
I don't know... I think, for now at least, I'm pulling for JC.