With just over two weeks to go, there is some optimism in the blogosphere about the GOP retaining control of both Houses in Congress. The Blogging Caesar:
Overall, it is clear to me that the GOP has indeed turned the corner - if it was ever really down in the first place. My only real worry at this point is another "October surprise". As an aside: Isn't it sad that we should have to worry about some politically-charged scandal being released just in time to influence the election? I hope we're done with that mess for this cycle - from both sides. Back to my optimism. I believe now that the effort by the media to portray the GOP faithful as depressed and unenergized has failed to produce GOP faithful who are depressed and unenergized. That is the main reason I'm feeling good this week.
The dreaded October surprise raises it's ugly head. Maybe the Democrats shot their wad with the Foley scandal, which has fizzled as an election issue and actually made the Democrats look pretty bad. Not the desired effect, I'm sure.
MTI at The MatWorld View is predicting the GOP will keep both houses and Rick Santorum will win and John Murtha will lose:
Rick Santorum will win his Senate seat because after the debates people of Pennsylvania saw Casey for what he is, a lightweight with no knowledge or truth about the issues. In the last debate Casey actually stated that there were 5000 gun dealers in Philadelphia and only a few dozen ATF agents to police them. Santorum blew him away by proving to him that there are only 22 gun dealers in the city, not 5000. This was but one lie that Casey has been spouting that Santorum has debunked. Santorum is within eight points now, and this number will move further his way in the next two weeks.
Cut and Run Democrat John Murtha, also of Penna, is under attack by a great Republican candidate, Diana Irey. I tried for months to get a poll of this race and there was nothing. Then last week the Pittsburgh Tribune released a poll of only 400 people, probably from their offices, that had Murtha up by double digits. But the paper refused to list who they polled, from where and from what party. The poll even had Irey losing in her hometown where she is well liked and very popular. The Irey campaign has called the poll wrong and proved that their internal polling show the race a dead heat.
He also expects another October surprise:
I fully expect yet another Democrat sleazy October Surprise. But even then I see the numbers shifting fast towards Republicans.
There are some interesting and informative polling statistics:
The loons in the Democrat party are convinced they will win it all because they have been told this for over a year. They are in an echo chamber of their reality.
But no one has asked them what happens when THEY lose.
The Democrats are looking at the GENERIC Congressional polls and saying they all favor Democrats. These are polls that ask you how you would vote WITHOUT a specific person’s name involved. Besides the fact that 60% of Americans say they like their own Congressman, what the Democrats do NOT look at is the fact that all the mainstream polls overstate Democrats in the statistics anywhere from 5 to 11 Points.
* USAToday/Gallup: 9 points.
* CBS/NYT: 5 points
* ABC/WP: 8 points
* CNN: did not provide sample party ID details.
* Newsweek: 11 points.
* AP/Ipsos: 8 points.
* Pew: 7 points.
* Time: 8 points.
This has NEVER been done before in an election.
In other words, the media and the polling outfits are MANIPULATING the outcome by over weighting the sample with Democrats so that it LOOKS like Democrats have it locked.
And a great picture of Johnny Carson as the Great Karnak. Check it out.
JUBILANT DEMOCRATS SHOULD RECONSIDER their order for confetti and noisemakers. The Democrats, as widely reported, are expecting GOP-weary voters to flock to the polls in two weeks and hand them control of the House for the first time in 12 years -- and perhaps the Senate, as well. Even some Republicans privately confess that they are anticipating the election-day equivalent of Little Big Horn. Pardon our hubris, but we just don't see it.
Our analysis -- based on a race-by-race examination of campaign-finance data -- suggests that the GOP will hang on to both chambers, at least nominally. We expect the Republican majority in the House to fall by eight seats, to 224 of the chamber's 435. At the very worst, our analysis suggests, the party's loss could be as large as 14 seats, leaving a one-seat majority. But that is still a far cry from the 20-seat loss some are predicting. In the Senate, with 100 seats, we see the GOP winding up with 52, down three
The article concludes with this:
With only two weeks to go, a barrage of contradictory poll findings is apt to confuse the oddsmakers, not to mention voters. But we're sticking with our numbers, and they say one thing: The Democrats don't have quite enough heft to push aside the elephant.
I'm getting more optimistic too. I just can't imagine American voters will turn our national security over to the Democrats. They have no plan for fighting the War on Terror and are obsessed with raising taxes, among other far left socialist ideas. From Tim Chapman:
Charles Rangel and his 94 percent ACLU rating would control the purse string at the Ways and Means Committee. Goodbye free trade, goodbye tax cuts and hello to the return of the Great Society!
John Conyers, a 100 percenter at ACLU and the AFL-CIO, would run the Judiciary Committee. Borders, prepare to be opened, goodbye Patriot Act and Native Hawaiians prepare to be granted the right to secede from the Union.
Rangel and Conyers are to of the best examples, but other would-be committee chairman are equally liberal, if not as notorious.
Also from Tim's post, a few bills the liberals have introduced in the House:
National Health Insurance Act (Dingell, D-MI)—H.R. 15. Institutes a new 5% value-added tax on property and services and creates a board to oversee payment to any individual for medical services not covered by Medicare.
Department of Peace and Nonviolence Act (Kucinich, D-OH)—H.R. 3760. Establishes a U.S. Department of Peace and Nonviolence, as well as a Peace Day. The department would promote “human rights,” international conflict prevention, nonviolent intervention, structured mediation, and peaceful conflict resolution.
Social Security Forever Act (Wexler, D-FL)—H.R. 2472. Imposes a new income tax on workers, employers, and self-employed businessmen to fund Social Security.
Health Security for All Americans Act (Baldwin, D-WI)—H.R. 2133. Requires states to create programs to ensure universal health coverage, and allows states to force employers to pay for health insurance for their employees.
Medicare for All Act (Dingell, D-MI)—H.R. 4683. Increases taxes on workers and employers to offer to all citizens, and other individuals legally present in the U.S., Medicare benefits equivalent to the health care plans federal employees receive.
Proposing an amendment to the Constitution of the United States respecting the right to decent, safe, sanitary, and affordable housing (Jackson, D-IL)—H.J.Res. 32 and Proposing an amendment to the Constitution of the United States respecting the right to a home (Rangel, D-NY)—H.J.Res 40. Creates a constitutional right to housing.
Proposing an amendment to the Constitution of the United States respecting the right to full employment and balanced growth (Jackson, D-IL)—H.J.Res. 35. Creates a constitutional right to full employment.
And that's just a drop in the bucket. The Democrats would like nothing better than to turn the United States into a Socialist hell. The dead voters probably don't care, I just hope the live ones do.